The Presidentiables Blog

it’s a strange survey. it is strange in many ways –  in the choices of the areas and the listing of presidentiables , only the major candidates are listed and does not include the laggards. we also can’t figure out the reasons for the choices of  the areas.

the strangest thing about this survey is the timing of the research – a few days after roxas announced his withdrawal from the race and a few days before aquino’s announcement. it is strange as that period is one of very heightened emotions and interest on aquino. it is not surprising that aquino got very high scores. too much of  an unnatural advantage for aquino.

we disagree with the article when it said it is “a good gauge of the competitiveness” of aquino. we will not put it as “competitiveness” but perhaps just interest on noynoy’s candidacy. what we see is that aquino’s presidential run has enlivened the presidential race.  it had caught a lot of attention and the public were riveted to the then on-going drama. that may have put a lot of interest on aquino and in turn has caused his doing very well in the survey.

we doubt if this same interest can be sustained for a long period of time.  we do not think its a good gauge of anything at all. it is garbage data, a waste of research money. this survey was conducted during a most unusual time, it will be foolish for anyone to take action or even to make any sensible conclusion coming from the research results.

The survey was conducted September 5 to 6 in the National Capital Region (NCR), Pangasinan province, Region 3 (Central Luzon), and Region 4-A (portions of Southern Tagalog).

This two-day period was after presidential aspirant Sen. Manuel ‘Mar’ Roxas II withdrew from the race in favor of Aquino, his Liberal Party colleague, and just days before Aquino announced he would run for the presidency. Roxas backed out on September 1 while Aquino announced his bid on September 9.

The survey has a margin of error of plus/minus 3%.

Although not a nationwide survey, the results give a good gauge of the competitiveness of the son of the late former President Corazon Aquino vis-a-vis the early birds in the presidential race.

read in full here: http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/09/13/09/50-prefer-noynoy-vote-rich-luzon-areas-sws-survey